UAE Announces Withdrawal of Remaining Forces From Yemen After Saudi Airstrikes on Mukalla Deepen Rift Between Gulf Allies, Expose Fragile Regional Alliances, Intensify Power Struggles Inside Yemen, and Raise New Fears for Stability, Diplomacy, and an Already Dire Humanitarian Crisis

The United Arab Emirates announced on Tuesday that it would withdraw its remaining military forces from Yemen, a decision that followed Saudi Arabia’s airstrikes on the southern port city of Mukalla and marked one of the most serious public ruptures between the two Gulf allies in years. The move came after Riyadh accused Abu Dhabi of delivering weapons and combat vehicles to separatist forces, actions Saudi officials described as a direct threat to the kingdom’s national security. The Saudi-led coalition carried out what it described as “limited” strikes on Mukalla, targeting military vehicles allegedly linked to the Southern Transitional Council, a group backed by the UAE that seeks an independent southern Yemen. Within hours, Saudi Arabia publicly called for all Emirati forces to leave Yemeni territory within 24 hours, signaling a dramatic escalation in tensions between two states that have long coordinated military, political, and economic policies across the region.

Initially, the UAE rejected Saudi accusations, expressing surprise at both the claims and the airstrikes themselves. Emirati officials denied pressuring or directing separatist forces to act against Saudi interests, insisting that their presence in Yemen was focused solely on counterterrorism operations. However, later in the day, the UAE’s defense ministry announced that “in view of recent developments,” it would voluntarily withdraw its remaining units from Yemen in a manner that ensured the safety of its personnel. The carefully worded statement sought to frame the decision as a sovereign and measured step rather than a response to Saudi demands, yet the timing left little doubt that Abu Dhabi was seeking to prevent a further deterioration in relations. Saudi authorities did not immediately respond publicly to the announcement, but the episode underscored how rapidly cooperation can give way to confrontation, even among the region’s closest partners.

The Saudi strikes followed a sharp speech by Yemen’s Presidential Council head Rashad Al-Olimi, whose Saudi-backed government accused the UAE of directing forces to rebel against state authority and escalating militarily within the country. Saudi officials echoed those claims, accusing Abu Dhabi of pressuring the Southern Transitional Council to carry out operations near the Saudi border. In a strongly worded statement, the Saudi Foreign Ministry warned that any threat to the kingdom’s national security was a “red line” and vowed to take all necessary measures to neutralize such risks. For Riyadh, the accusation went beyond tactical disagreements inside Yemen, striking at the heart of regional security calculations and alliance trust. For Abu Dhabi, the charges represented what it described as an unfair portrayal of its long-standing role in Yemen, where it has argued its focus has been on combating extremist groups and stabilizing strategic coastal areas.

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The immediate backdrop to the confrontation was the rapid territorial expansion of UAE-backed separatist forces earlier this month. The Southern Transitional Council and allied groups seized control of key provinces, including areas in the oil-rich Hadramout region, claiming authority over eight governorates and renewing calls for southern Yemen to secede as an independent state. Saudi-backed Yemeni officials argued that the offensive fractured the already fragile fight against Iran-backed Houthi forces in the north, weakening a unified front and complicating efforts to stabilize the country. The advances alarmed Riyadh, which has long supported Yemen’s internationally recognized government and fears that southern secession could permanently splinter the country. For the UAE, the STC has represented a reliable local partner aligned with its strategic interests in maritime security and counterterrorism, highlighting a fundamental divergence in priorities that years of coordination had masked.

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The rift has drawn international attention, particularly from the United States, which counts both Saudi Arabia and the UAE as key strategic partners. Before the escalation, US Secretary of State Marco Rubio urged restraint and diplomacy, expressing concern over developments in southeastern Yemen and emphasizing support for dialogue aimed at a lasting solution. Washington’s response reflected broader worries that open friction between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi could undermine regional stability at a time when conflicts across the Middle East remain deeply interconnected. The two Gulf states have historically presented a united front, including during the blockade of Qatar that lasted more than three years and during the early phases of the Yemen war. The current dispute, however, suggests that underlying differences over Yemen’s future and the balance of power within it have reached a point where private negotiations have given way to public confrontation.

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Beyond the geopolitical fallout, the renewed tensions threaten to further destabilize Yemen, a country already devastated by more than a decade of war. The conflict has created one of the world’s worst humanitarian crises, with millions facing food insecurity, collapsing health services, and economic ruin. Each escalation between external actors reverberates through local communities, worsening conditions for civilians caught between shifting fronts and competing authorities. The UAE’s withdrawal may reduce one layer of military complexity, but it also risks leaving power vacuums and emboldening armed groups pursuing their own agendas. As Saudi Arabia reassesses its strategy and Yemen’s factions recalibrate their alliances, the episode serves as a stark reminder that even the most tightly bound regional partnerships are vulnerable to fracture, and that Yemen’s path toward peace remains perilously uncertain amid regional rivalries and unresolved internal divisions.

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